When U.S. forces launched strikes against Iranian military targets in June, critics warned it could ignite a regional inferno — even the start of World War III. Four months later, the Middle East is quieter than at any point in years. Iranian proxies have scaled back attacks, Gulf tensions have cooled, and Washington has shifted attention toward the Western Hemisphere.The unexpected calm is raising a new question: Did decisive U.S. action restore deterrence — or has Washington simply been lucky?Those who favor a more forceful U.S. foreign policy counted Iran’s lack of a response as a win for t...

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