Traders on the prediction market Kalshi are showing little confidence that Americans will see new stimulus checks, putting the odds of so-called "tariff rebate" payments at just 5% heading into the end of the year.That’s down from about 13.4% earlier this month, reflecting fading expectations for any government payouts tied to tariff revenue. The trading volume, or the total dollar amount wagered on this market, sits a little over $451,000.TRUMP SAYS TARIFF REVENUE TO FUND $2K CHECKS FOR AMERICANS, LOWER NATION’S $38T DEBTKalshi lets users bet real money on everything from politics and economi...

1 month ago

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