The global homicide rate is declining, but why exactly? | SimpleImages/Getty Images One source of good news — favored both by me and, apparently, venture capitalists — is what’s known as a “narrative violation.” A narrative violation occurs when everyone thinks one thing, but the actual evidence suggests the opposite.  And few narratives are more persistently violated than one common belief: “Violent crime is always going up.” A 2023 survey from IPSOS of people in 30 countries found that 70 percent of respondents thought the world was becoming more violent and dangerous. Here in the...

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